Gemstone Bay, New Zealand

Click for more New Zealand photos

Lake Matheson, New Zealand

Click for more New Zealand photos

Skipper's Canyon Jetboat, New Zealand

Click for more New Zealand photos

Flags flying over the Ville Close

Concarneau, France

Swan taking off

Newtown, Wales

Street performer,Vienna

Click for more photos of Bratislava and Vienna

Model and real cranes

Nantes, France

Snow, Wales

Click for more pics from Wales

Wibbling moron David Nutt sacked as government advisor.

Nutt is clearly a candidate for some of the worst “bad science” of the year, and blatant statistic mangling.

I wouldn’t trust a word this kook spouted – he sounds like a complete wibbling loon candidate for mistruth, and I quote: “David Nutt claimed the risk of taking ecstasy was no worse than riding a horse”.

And so I embarked earlier on today hunting down the relative statistics.

And I looked and looked and looked. I looked at drugs blogs, politics blogs, science blogs, news reports.

All I could find were people asking for the figures. The best I could get was “I think he said it because one year 10 people died in horse accidents and 10 people died taking ecstasy”.

Please tell me the moronic dickhead didn’t really use that? How many people ride horses?! Actually, I can tell you – from the BHA website: 2,400,000 people regularly ride. From Highbeam: 730,000 people regularly take ecstasy

Turns out the lying wibbling bad science kook is actually comparing numbers, not statistics. The sort of crap the Labour government would happily spout at what they assume was a gullible electorate. Surprised they didn’t promote him.

Even if it actually was a truthful figure, riding a horse gives a feeling of wellbeing, provides good exercise, is highly social, teaches you several skills, and cantering full pelt across a mountain top is a pretty good natural high.

Whereas taking E just makes you an annoying twat for a couple of hours.

Personally, I think Nutt’s been at the hallucinogenics again!

  • Oranjepan
    Prof Nutt never actually said what was attributed to him.

    This is the original paper in which he makes the comparison
    http://jop.sagepub.com/cgi/reprint/23/1/3

    He reports that ecstasy use causes acute harm on average in one-in-10,000 cases, whereas horseriding causes acute harm in one-in-350 cases. Yet the former is illegal while the latter is legal.

    Maybe it is a crass and insensitive comparison, but it makes the point that public policy must be based on evidence - not personal preference and reaction to daily news headlines.

    Then there is also the problem of enforcability of the law. If you can't enforce it consistently because the behaviour is too widespread then the cost of prosecuting it is a complete waste. 730,000 regular ecstasy users? there are only 85,000 people in prison - are you prepared to pay the tax rise required to make the clampdown? Or do you propose laws should be ignored?

    If the law fails to deal with practical issues, the people who make and uphold it will begin to be held in contempt as officials lose authority over what they do. Worse is the way in which such behaviour patterns don't happen in isolation, and when more serious issues are at stake the consequences are starker.

    The culture of setting policy according to whim and not according to proper consideration of the evidence lay at the heart of the decision to invade Iraq, the deregulation of the banking sector and the setting of the expenses rules to give three simple examples.

    In each case contendious justification was provided for undertaking the policy, implementation hadn't be fully considered and adequate resources weren't made available.

    Yes Saddam was a bad man, companies want higher profits and politicians need to be in contact with ordinary people, but the way each matter was handled was flawed by lack of scrutiny of the evidence, and we are paying through the nose for the consequences.

    Do we want more of that?
blog comments powered by Disqus

digitaltoast is Digg proof thanks to caching by WP Super Cache